Excess mortality from COVID 19 in Costa Rica: a registry based study using Poisson regression

dc.creatorFantin, Romain Clement
dc.creatorBarboza Solís, Cristina
dc.creatorHildesheim, Allan
dc.creatorHerrero, Rolando
dc.date.accessioned2024-08-14T16:15:39Z
dc.date.available2024-08-14T16:15:39Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractExcess mortality from COVID 19 in Costa Rica: a registry based study using Poisson regression Romain Fantin,a ,b ,c ,∗ Cristina Barboza-Solís,c Allan Hildesheim,b and Rolando Herrerob a Centro Centroamericano de Población, Universidad de Costa Rica, San Pedro, Costa Rica b Agencia Costarricense de Investigaciones Biomédicas – Fundación Inciensa, San José, Costa Rica c Facultad de Odontología, Universidad de Costa Rica, San Pedro, Costa Rica Summary Background Official death toll related to COVID-19 has been considerably underestimated in reports from some Latin American countries. This study aimed to analyze the mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic in Costa Rica between March 2020 and December 2021. Methods A registry based study based on 2017–2021 data from the National Institute of Statistics and Census was designed (N = 128,106). Excess deaths were defined by the WHO as “the difference in the total number of deaths in a crisis compared to those expected under normal conditions”; and were estimated using a Poisson regression, and mortality and years of potential life lost (YPLL) rates were calculated. Findings The COVID-19 pandemic represented 15% of the deaths in Costa Rica between March 2020 and December 2021. The mortality rate related to COVID-19 was 83 per 100,000 person-years. Between March and July 2020 (low- incidence period), observed number of deaths was 9%-lower than expected, whereas it was 15% and 24% higher than expected between July 2020 and March 2021 (high incidence period - no vaccination), and between March 2021 and December 2021 (high incidence period – progressive vaccination) respectively. Between July 2020 and December 2021, excess deaths observed and COVID-19 deaths reported were comparable (7461 and 7620 respectively). Nevertheless, there were more deaths than expected for conditions that predispose to COVID-19 deaths. YPLL and mortality rates increased with age, but significant excess deaths were observed in all age-groups older than 30–39 years. No large differences were noted by districts’ socioeconomic characteristics although excess death rate was lower in rural compared to urban areasen_CR
dc.description.pages1-11
dc.description.urihttps://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanam/article/PIIS2667-193X(23)00025-X/fulltext
dc.identifier.issn2667-193Xes_CR
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.sibdi.ucr.ac.cr/handle/123456789/22493
dc.language.isoengen_CR
dc.publisherThe Lancet Regional Health - Americas, Vol.20en_CR
dc.subjectMORTALITYes_CR
dc.subjectEXCESS DEATHSes_CR
dc.subjectMIDDLE INCOME COUNTRYes_CR
dc.subjectCOVID-19es_CR
dc.subjectYPLLes_CR
dc.subjectCOSTA RICAes_CR
dc.titleExcess mortality from COVID 19 in Costa Rica: a registry based study using Poisson regressionen_CR
dc.typeArticle

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